Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?
Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?
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Based on data from the Lunar Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite (LCROSS), it is widely believed that there is frozen water trapped in Permanently Shadowed Regions (PSR) in craters near the lunar poles.
If such water exists, it could prove an extremely useful resource for any future lunar missions, primarily because it could be used to manufacture fuel in-situ, reducing the amount of weight spacecraft must bring to the lunar surface if they hope to lift off again.
By 2030, will any water have been mined on the Moon? Water collected purely for scientific purposes does not count, it must be collected with the intention to use as a resource. A demonstration system to illustrate the feasibility of collecting lunar water as a resource is sufficient, even if the water collected is not actually used.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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