Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2026 be composed by AI?
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2026 be composed by AI?
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Will resolve to YES if any song listed on Billboard Hot 100 (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) before 2026 is known to be written by AI. The music could be performed by a human or AI-generated, what counts is whether the main melody is composed by an AI.
Will resolve to NO if there is no reliable reports of any songs being composed by AI.
Will resolve to N/A if there's a significant controversy (e.g. copyright lawsuit) regarding whether a song is written by an AI or a human.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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