What % of the vote will the Drin Drin Movement get in the next Italian elections?
What % of the vote will the Drin Drin Movement get in the next Italian elections?
Plus
3
Ṁ1702027
43%
<0.5%
8%
0.5% - 1%
8%
1% - 2%
8%
2% - 3%
8%
3% - 4%
8%
4% - 5%
8%
5% - 6%
9%
6%>
The Drin Drin Movement is the tentative name of an emerging Italian political party, poised to participate in the upcoming Italian elections scheduled for 2027 (unless an earlier election is triggered by a government collapse, definitely not unheard of in Italy).
What percentage of the vote will they get?
Brackets are [a, b)
Also Resolves <0.5% if the party is not present/votable at the election.
I will change Title and Description of the market if/when the movement gets an official name.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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