Will the UK withdraw from the European Court of Human Rights?
Basic
12
Ṁ278
2033
16%
chance

Resolves YES if the UK ceases to be a signatory to the ECHR before the close date. This will include both the UK choosing to leave as well as being ejected as Russia was in 2022.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ25 NO at 30% order

sold as I think, based on attitudes across europe, ECHR reform is much more likely than leaving.

Background to this: the current UK government has been denouncing the ECHR for some time, and a few members of the Conservative Party are suggesting that they’d fight the next election with “leave the ECHR” as a manifesto policy.

I think it’d be unbelievably stupid to do so, but I thought that about Brexit, so maybe I shouldn’t rule it out?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules