Will the UK withdraw from the European Court of Human Rights?
Basic
8
Ṁ1612033
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the UK ceases to be a signatory to the ECHR before the close date. This will include both the UK choosing to leave as well as being ejected as Russia was in 2022.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Background to this: the current UK government has been denouncing the ECHR for some time, and a few members of the Conservative Party are suggesting that they’d fight the next election with “leave the ECHR” as a manifesto policy.
I think it’d be unbelievably stupid to do so, but I thought that about Brexit, so maybe I shouldn’t rule it out?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2024?
32% chance
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
53% chance
Will the UK government remove HTS from its list of terrorist organizations by June 1st 2025?
60% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
52% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
75% chance
Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
23% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2080?
63% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2090?
63% chance
Will the UK government dissolve in January 2025?
1% chance