On January 31st, 2025, when this market closes, will this market be predicted to resolve "No"?
Basic
0
Feb 1
50%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Essentially, this market resolves "Yes" if the algorithm predicts the market will resolve "No", and "No" if the market is predicted to resolve "Yes". If the algorithm is split 50-50, this market will resolve "No". Voting will end on January 31st, 2025. I will not vote in this market.
Just an interesting game theory (I think) problem for you guys. It'll be fun to see how this plays out.
If you have any questions, post a comment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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