Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?
Plus
16
Ṁ5102100
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes causing a contingent election in the House even if the ultimate outcome doesn't change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?
28% chance
Will more than 25% of US Adults believe the 2024 Election was illegitimate in February 2025?
6% chance
Will the 2024 US presidential election be stolen from the rightful victor?
3% chance
Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
22% chance
Will there be legally provable evidence of voter fraud in the 2024 Presidential Election?
3% chance
If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?
59% chance
Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?
21% chance
Will the 2024 US Presidential Election be successfully reversed?
2% chance
Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?
20% chance
Will there be an unscheduled change in the US presidential election date through 2036?
18% chance