
Before 2032, how much will be spent lobbying against regulation of General AI systems? (2024$, best guess)
Plus
3
Ṁ28472032
22%
Less than $1bn
29%
$1bn - $10bn
29%
$10bn - $50bn
11%
$50bn - $100bn
9%
More than $100bn
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
71% chance
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
13% chance
Will non-profit funding for AI safety reach 100 billion US dollars in a year before 2030?
38% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
1% chance
Conditional on California SB 1047 law, will an AI cause $500 million in damage by end of 2026?
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
18% chance
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
36% chance
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?
81% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
57% chance