Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
Plus
25
Ṁ16442035
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The typical defition of war; at least 1000 combatant deaths.
It doesn't have to be solely fought over AI, but AI must be a significant cause.
Update 2025-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In a scenario involving robot combat, the 1000 combatant deaths can consist of:
Humans
Machines that are generally believed to be sentient
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@TheWabiSabi If the robots kill at least 1000 humans or machines that are generally believed to be sentient, yes.
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI start a war before 2040
20% chance
Will there be an AI culture war in 2025?
30% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
6% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
Will there be a massive catastrophe caused by AI before 2030?
27% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
29% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will humanity wipe out AI before the year 2030?
7% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
24% chance