Aella? Will Nick Deck 'er? (Aella-Decker 2025 hookup market)
76
Ṁ41k
Dec 31
3%
chance

Will Aella and Nick Decker both claim to have hooked up by the end of the year, either in private to Nathan, this market will resolve to yes.

Made with permission from both.

  • Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution requires explicit confirmation from both Aella and Nick Decker that they hooked up. A claim from only one party, with the other remaining silent, is not sufficient.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I'm confused why this is going down. Hodling my "yes" position #IronHands

@TheAllMemeingEye everyone at manifest got one, it was free

boughtṀ1,250NO

@JoseLuisRicon is there a reason you single handedly crashed the odds lol?

A claim from only one party, with the other remaining silent, is not sufficient.

Wait, what? I don't think either of them would lie about this, why is this here?

@IsaacKing shenanigans potential

bought Ṁ50 YES from 58% to 60%

@NathanpmYoung wait is that a real image? AI image models don't let users make images of world leaders let alone individual relatively obscure microcelebs, right? Why have the odds crashed instead of risen? Is it just really skilled Photoshop?

EDIT: ok seemingly he posted it himself, and he claims it's real, and it's in response to her talking about having an orgy with him, so it's even crazier that the odds have dropped

https://xcancel.com/captgouda24/status/1930102972652102118#m

ahahhaah isn't nicholas like 22😭

Will this market resolve if only one of them tells Nathan and the other stays silent? Or does it require explicit confirmation from both sides?

@frenchmacdonald explicit. But I have talked to both so expect to be able to get it.

Is this the Nick Decker being referred to?

Or, based on the other comments, maybe it's the guy I think Aella mentioned in a post once who "has a LOT of female sex partners in the UK EA community"? Can someone tell that guy to leave some for the rest of us? EA women are an extremely rare and valuable find and "a LOT" sounds like more than he reasonably needs lol

@typeofemale I'm so frickin jealous I can't even

@TheAllMemeingEye you have the doc and that doc has my email!

Adding this with knowledge of Nicholas:

Nicholas isn't cheating on me; right now we are dating but in a non-committal fashion.

As interested as I am in the outcome of this market, I will shy away from actually betting on it.

Tell Nicholas he either gets to choose me or Aella, not both.

@typeofemale for context, I am Decker's quasi-gf (in his own words), so this market also determines the fate of our friendship and relationship -- I am personally invested in the outcome.

@typeofemale i think the most likely outcome of this would be just a casual sex orgy with a bunch of girls. I think probably he's too young for me to date, don't worry

@Aella okay

@typeofemale I asked Nick's permission to create this market, so this seems like one to resolve with him directly.

@NathanpmYoung already have

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules