Will there be a state-of-the-art LLM that is NOT based on next raw token prediction before 2029?
Basic
0
2029
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
52% chance
Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?
74% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?
49% chance
Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?
31% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will the next major LLM by OpenAI use a new tokenizer?
77% chance
Will someone release a crypto-LLM by 2025?
66% chance