Will Lewandowski still be the captain of the Polish national team at the 2026 World Cup?
Will Lewandowski still be the captain of the Polish national team at the 2026 World Cup?
Basic
4
Ṁ59
2026
51%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

How will this resolve if Poland do not qualify?

1y

@Morch I'm really that much of a football fan, so I might be mistaken... but couldn't it just resolve based on who is going to be the captain during qualifications?

1y

@Morch Or maybe it would be better to N/A it then... The spirit of my question was more like "Will Lewandowski resign as a captain before the 2026 World Cup". I didn't take into account that Poland could not qualify. I'm open to a discussion and will then clarify the resolution criteria.

@Morch I don't think it's possible that he would be the captain during qualification and then was replaced by someone else... And also aren't qualifications technically a part of the World Cup? Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do.

Does it sound reasonable?

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules