This can be any type of Starship, tankers, depots, testing vehicles, HLS, etc. They don't need to transfer fuel for this market to resolve Yes, but the docking itself has to be successful.
If the docking happens in an unexpected way, like with a long hose or something, that would also count as Yes. Docking a Dragon to a Starship is not sufficient.
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2024?NO
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2025?NO
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?2%
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?63%
See also:
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2026?1%
Artemis 2 timeline: Will Artemis II launch before 2026?1%
Artemis 3 timeline: Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?42%
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I don’t understand this market. Hasn’t this already happened many times over?
No, this is about Starships. The article you're referring to is the Dragon capsule docking with the ISS. Starship is a specific vehicle currently in development by SpaceX and hasn't been to space yet (but it might in about 24 hours). The different types I'm referring to are about different variants of that Spacecraft that are expected to exist.
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What is this?
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Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00