Will Chandrayaan-4 succeed in returning samples from the moon?
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47%
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If samples are returned safely to Earth, this market resolves Yes.
If Chandrayaan-4 is changed to no longer attempt a return, this will resolve No.
If the Chandrayaan-4 program is officially cancelled, this will resolve No.
Let me know if you think of other conditions or edge cases I should clarify.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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