Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
Basic
10
Ṁ6752040
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves when either party has Martian soil/rock samples in their possession on Earth.
Resolves NA if either party completes a human Mars mission.
June 2024 update: clarifying that if Europe is not involved this question can still resolve NO if the US alone is successful.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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