Will Louisiana implement the "Ten Commandments in Classrooms" law by July 2025? Or will it be struck down in court?
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Louisiana has "delayed implementation" of the controversial law, until after the election, and until legal review -- at least until November 15th 2024.

https://deepnewz.com/education/louisiana-delays-ten-commandments-classroom-mandate-until-november-15-2024-amid

Will this law ever be implemented, by the state or at the parish level?

The market will resolve YES if the law is implemented, or there is a serious attempt to implement it in public schools, at a state or parish level. Individual rogue schools or teachers will of course not count.

An example of implementation could involve

-> sending classroom materials to teachers

-> changing to textbooks that emphasize the Ten Commandments -- if that is the expressed aim

The market will resolve NO if times runs out -- set at July 2025.

OR the market will resolve an early NO if the law is struck down by upper courts in Louisiana or the US Supreme Court. We will see if the state decides to appeal such a ruling and if that appeal has a realistic chance of being heard before July 2025.

Given that the law is under review now -- see the article -- the early NO resolution is quite likely.

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“in any way, in any classroom” contradicts “Individual rogue schools or teachers will of course not count.” Glad I read the fine print.

For clarity, would you consider removing the “Or will it be struck down in court?” so it’s more clear what YES means? Or you could also rephrase… thanks!

I think it's quite clear.

I like to address all major possible cases.

If the law is struck down in court and Louisiana does not appeal that ruling, we can resolve the market early.

I think that's better than not making that clear up front.

If someone asks you a question about your market, it is usually not as clear as you think.

In this case, the issue is that you have two questions in the title, and they point in opposite sides - if the first one is true the market resolves YES, and if the second one is true the market resolves NO. And, on top of that, these two questions do not exhaust the possibilities, only the description does.

Also, this

Will this law ever be implemented, in any way, in any classroom?

can very reasonably be interpreted as contradicting this:

Individual rogue schools or teachers will of course not count.

I think these issues should be addressed.

You've been argumentative with me before -- Mr Bruno.

I don't want to be lectured and more than you probably do. You can just not bet my markets.

"If someone asks you a question about your market..." -- this is language used to start an argument. Which you have every right to do but I'd prefer not to.

I am not suggestion you are wrong.

I am just saying the way I phrase markets appears not to be for you, so maybe we don't need to continue having this conversation. Respectfully.

as for the specific market

quite clearly if a rogue teacher hangs the Ten Commandments that should not count

this is about legislation -- will it ever be implemented?

if that's not clear to you please don't bet this market

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Does it make you happy to argue with strangers?

Could you consider stopping please. Just don’t bet my markets please and find someone else to argue with.

I agree with Conflux that the title is confusing. If you want to keep the court thing, you should do (resolves NO if struck down by the courts) or something.

And yeah I don't think there's in principle a clear difference between a rogue school doing it and the law being implemented in any classroom although idk if it's likely to matter in practice

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