Use A-Z sort for this market!
Add CEOs to the list in the format "Name - Company - Year". If there's an existing entry and you want a later year, please copy it.
Each answer with that name resolves YES if they quit their jobs; NO if the end of the year is reached with them remaining CEO.
Example: Mark Zuckerberg is CEO January 1, 2025 will resolve "Mark Zuckerberg - META - 2024" NO.
Example: Mark Zuckerberg quits on December 31, 2023 but rejoins January 2, 2024. Then his 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 answers would all resolve YES from that small employment gap.
Answers must be currently CEO or announced to be CEO as of a certain soon date.
Options will be NA'd if they break the A-Z sort by not exactly matching the previous entry.
NA if the year is later than 3 years or later into the future, since we have a 100 answers limit.
I will ask admins to increase the active answer limit or add answer groupings if it becomes an issue, since I would like to see the CEO firing curve all in one place.
If the company is dissolved, resolves YES.
If the company merges or is acquired, resolves YES if the person is no longer CEO of a new company(even if it's a subsidiary). Otherwise, answer is edited to refer to the new company.
If a company changes its name, answer is edited to refer to the new name but stays unresolved.
1,000
3.00I've closed this for new answers since I don't want to maintain it. I'm tempted to NA it, but I'll leave it open for admins since it's reasonably well-specified.
I will resolve 2024 answers, but any later 2025 ones are the responsibility of moderators/admins.
@josharian Jeff Bezos is not actually the CEO of Amazon. Andrew Jassy is.
So I've edited this option to Andrew Jassy.
@Mira Thanks! I have submitted the A-Z hiding answers as a bug report
I also added:
Also a way more specific and probably more annoying thing to implement, but when someone is tagged "@James" it would be cool if it ignored the @ and sorted "@James" to "J" instead of first
and I added your comment about top10-15 filtered by higher prob sorted by A-Z.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00