How many drug connected shootings will occur in 2025 in Brussels
How many drug connected shootings will occur in 2025 in Brussels
Basic
3
Ṁ1372026
10%
10
10%
15
20%
20
20%
25
18%
30
20%
35
20%
40
20%
45
20%
50
20%
over 50
Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Method: The market will resolve to the option whose number is closest to the actual count of drug connected shootings.
Mutually Exclusive Options: Only the nearest option is considered correct, meaning if the closest option is selected then all other options are incorrect.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I assume these options mutually exclusive? And that this market resolves to the closest number? So if there were 23 shootings, it would resolve 25 to YES and all the others to NO.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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