TRUE or FALSE: "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak"
TRUE or FALSE: "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak"
Basic
4
Ṁ45
2040
41%
chance

This question does not resolve. Instead, it tracks public opinion.


Buy YES if you're Bullish (i.e., believe more people will AGREE with "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak" in the future, than the market currently reflects).

Buy NO if you're Bearish (i.e., believe more people will DISAGREE with "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak" in the future, than the market currently reflects).

Sell anytime to collect profit.

PS — Here is evidence in favor of YES: https://oversight.house.gov/release/final-report-covid-select-concludes-2-year-investigation-issues-500-page-final-report-on-lessons-learned-and-the-path-forward/

COVID-19 ORIGIN: COVID-19 most likely emerged from a laboratory in Wuhan, China. The FIVE strongest arguments in favor of the “lab leak” theory include:

  1. The virus possesses a biological characteristic that is not found in nature.

  2. Data shows that all COVID-19 cases stem from a single introduction into humans. This runs contrary to previous pandemics where there were multiple spillover events.

  3. Wuhan is home to China’s foremost SARS research lab, which has a history of conducting gain-of-function research at inadequate biosafety levels.

  4. Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) researchers were sick with a COVID-like virus in the fall of 2019, months before COVID-19 was discovered at the wet market.

  5. By nearly all measures of science, if there was evidence of a natural origin it would have already surfaced.

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