What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?
What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?
Basic
1
Ṁ162030
15%
iPhone 15
21%
iPhone 16
21%
iPhone 17
21%
iPhone 18
21%
iPhone 19+
The actual release may not follow this numerical sequence, and the chosen designations are placeholders for the flagship iterations sequentially succeeding the current model, with the understanding that the specific numerical nomenclature may vary. This excludes multiple models in the same generation (i.e. the iPhone 15, 15 Pro, Plus, and Pro Max are all considered versions of the 'iPhone 15')
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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