When will the first murder of a civilian happen in a US city by a robot or AI device where an operator is not nearby
Plus
10
Ṁ12982026
15%
In 2024
83%
In or after 2025
57%
In or after 2030
45%
In or after 2040
27%
In or after 2050
This will resolve YES if the killing is deemed intentional to attack a specific person by someone not involved in law enforcement. Random attacks, accidents or bombs do not count. The creator, operator or programmer does not need to be found or known to resolve YES. Includes any machine, robot or drone. The device can be remotely controlled but the operator can not be within visual line of sight of the attack.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.
57% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
64% chance
A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
41% chance
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
39% chance
What AI safety incidents will occur in 2025?
When will the first AI Mind Reading technology be used in a legal or policing context?
2033
Will there be a botched AI takeover/attempted shutdown evasion killing >100 people before 2050?
29% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030?
30% chance
Will there be an attempt of murder of an OpenAI employee due to AI repulsion before 2050?
41% chance
Will an AI system be judged to have killed a human on its own initiative and for no other purpose by 2030?
26% chance