
Robotics has advanced significantly in recent years, with robots being developed for a wide range of applications, including search and rescue, exploration, and recreation. One of the remaining challenges in robotics is the development of a robot that can autonomously climb to the top of a representative set of famously hard-to-climb mountains and natural rock formations. Such a robot would need to be highly adaptable, able to navigate diverse terrains and weather conditions, and possess the strength, endurance, and dexterity to overcome challenging obstacles.
Will a robot be created before January 1st, 2040, that can fully autonomously climb to the top of a representative set of famously hard-to-climb mountains and natural rock formations?
Resolution criteria:
This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2040, a robot is publicly and credibly documented to have:
- Demonstrated the ability to autonomously navigate and climb diverse terrains, including: - a. Rock faces, ice, and mixed terrain. 
 b. Vertical and overhanging sections.
 c. Loose, crumbling, or unstable surfaces.
 d. Snow and glacier-covered slopes.
- Exhibited the capacity to adapt to various weather conditions and environmental factors, such as: - a. Winds exceeding 60 mph (97 km/h). 
 b. Precipitation, including heavy rain and snowfall.
 c. Temperatures ranging from -40°F (-40°C) to 100°F (38°C).
 d. Altitudes above 26,000 feet (8,000 meters).
 e. Limited visibility due to fog, darkness, or other factors.
- Shown proficiency in using appropriate climbing techniques and equipment, including: - a. Rock and ice climbing techniques, such as jamming, stemming, and dry-tooling. 
 b. Proper use of climbing equipment, such as ropes, carabiners, ice axes, and crampons.
 c. Anchoring, belaying, and protection placement techniques.
- Successfully climbed to the top of a representative set of famously hard-to-climb mountains and natural rock formations, which must include at least one climb from each of the following categories: - a. Alpine mixed climbs, such as the Eiger North Face (Switzerland) or the Cassin Ridge on Denali (USA). 
 b. High-altitude peaks, such as Mount Everest (Nepal-China) or K2 (Pakistan-China).
 c. Technical rock formations, such as El Capitan (USA) or the Trango Towers (Pakistan).
A successful demonstration must be accompanied by:
- A publicly accessible report or documentation describing the robot's design, capabilities, and performance in various climbing scenarios. 
- Independent validation of the robot's performance by at least two separate entities with expertise in robotics, mountaineering, or related fields. These entities can be research groups, institutions, or companies. 
- The publication of the findings in one or more peer-reviewed scientific journals or relevant media outlets. 
I will use my discretion when resolving this question, possibly in consultation with experts.
I'm betting no. Not because I think a robot can't do this, but because I think your resolution criteria are sort of ridiculous and nobody's going to bother doing all that stuff.
If your resolution criteria could be met by (eg) "Boston Dynamics published a video of a robot climbing Mount Everest, set to catchy music", I would have bet yes.