Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025? | Manifold

Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?

39

𝕊440

Mar 2

65%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If Ross' sentence is commuted to time served or he is fully pardoned before March 1st 2025, this market resolves YES. This is regardless of who commutes his sentence or pardons him.

Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Prison Markets

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bought 𝕊10.00 NO

What are the odds Trump commutes the sentence to a couple more years and this resolves no

Arguments for YES: the tweet

Arguments for NO: Trump says a lot of stuff, much of which never happens. Also, markets like this tend to be skewed YES by people who think he should be released.

Sweeped!

Ulbricht has Twitter in supermax?

@NivlacM His family is maintaining it for him.

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