Will 2028 SAT scores be higher than 2022 SAT scores if the Department of Education is abolished by DOGE?
Will 2028 SAT scores be higher than 2022 SAT scores if the Department of Education is abolished by DOGE?
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https://blog.prepscholar.com/average-sat-scores-over-time
The average SAT score in 2018 was 1067.
The average SAT score in 2022 was 1050.
The average SAT score in 2024 was 1024.
Will the downward trend reverse if the DoE is abolished?
Resolves N/A if the DoE is not abolished before July 4, 2026
Resolves YES if the 2028 average SAT score is greater than 1050.
Resolves NO if the 2028 average SAT score is 1050 or less
If the SAT changes significantly, as it did between 2016 and 2017, this will resolve N/A as it cannot be graded.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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How much of the effect was due to expanding attendance? If the worst 50% of schools close avg sat scores would go up
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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