Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)
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This market will require a bit of nuance, as the names may change. I intend to focus on the category that more closely resembles Azure, AWS, and GCP. It's right now called IaaS (infrastructure as a service) by Gartner, they estimate that 2022, the spending was $115B. This would require a $460B estimate by then if they don't revise the $115B estimate. This will mean a 15% CAGR from 2022.

This is the current Gartner estimate (27% growth in '22, 29% growth in '23) :

I won't bet here.

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In Jun/22, in a memo to the BoD, Satya Nadella wrote that IaaS is an $120B opportunity in 2022 and they expect it to CAGR at 21% per annum to 2030 (way ahead to the pace a 4x would require for this market)

Is there a reason you're wondering if it will quadruple? 27% -> 29% -> 300% seems unlikely

oh ignore that i can't read

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