
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
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Estadão has basômetro, a tool to measure how each representative voted with the administration orientation. For each administration, this was the track record:
- Lula 1: 77% 
- Lula 2: 79% 
- Dilma 1: 75% 
- Dilma 2: 65% 
- Temer: 76% 
- Bolsonaro: 76% 
- Average: 75% 
If Lula has a 77% or better "basômetro" score by the end of his current term, this market solves to YES.
https://arte.estadao.com.br/politica/basometro/index.php
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