Will Ross Ulbricht Be On The Joe Rogan Podcast Within 1 Year Of Release From Prison?
Will Ross Ulbricht Be On The Joe Rogan Podcast Within 1 Year Of Release From Prison?
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81%
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If Ross' sentence is a guest on the Joe Rogan Podcast and the Podcast is publicly available, and is published before 11:41pm EST on January 21st 2026, than this market Resolves YES.
Otherwise, this market resolves NO.
https://www.reddit.com/r/JoeRogan/s/6mBgCxCFyR
The time chosen 1 year after the timestamp of the first public photo once released. (Context in tweets are below)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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