
Will Shanghai be nuked in 2025?
Basic
13
Ṁ2055Jan 1
1.1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the city of Shanghai suffers attack by nuclear weaponry in the year 2025, including by a non-national actor.
I'm putting this up as a market because it's something I had a dream about in roughly 2010.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
12% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
6% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
17% chance
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
21% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance