Will 2024 be the hottest year on record, globally?
Plus
29
Ṁ11kJan 17
98.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Simple Y/N
This year, records published on Jan 17, so (tentatively) same closing date in 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Estimate that it will be the warmest year is now >0.95 https://x.com/hausfath/status/1821952219463479656
What's the resolution source?
Related questions
Related questions
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?
99% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
19% chance
Will 2024 be the hottest year in the last 25 years
99% chance
Will 2030 be the warmest year on record?
38% chance
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record? (fussy multi-dataset criteria)
99% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
19% chance
Will 2024 be the warmest year on record?
99% chance
Will 2024 be the 2nd hottest year on record?
1% chance
Will December 2024 be the hottest December on record in the US?
15% chance