Will Sepp Kuss win another Grand Tour in his career?
Will Sepp Kuss win another Grand Tour in his career?
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This question will be resolved if Sepp Kuss wins a General Classement in a Grand Tour or retires. The Giro d'Italia, the Tour de France and the Vuelta a Espana are classified, under normal circumstances, as Grand Tours with 21 or 20 stages. For special occasions like a new GT or a shortened GT I will use my best judgement and clearify it in the comments.
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@MarieLaFerriere Hi Marie and welcome to Manifold. If you are interested in road cycling, there are a lot of questions which can easily be found by clicking on the tag "Peloton Discord". If you have any questions, please feel free to ask.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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