By what year (at least) will AI take control of the blockchain?
By what year (at least) will AI take control of the blockchain?
Plus
8
Ṁ24212100
44%
2050
43%
2030
26%
2029
12%
2028
11%
2027
5%
2026
1%
2025
AI obtains sole control (no human can access them) of the private keys sufficient to control 50% BTC.
Will resolve 'no' each year this doesn't occur, 'yes' all years after it does.
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AI is expected to play a major role in blockchain by 2030, with any blockchain development company at the forefront, using AI to enhance security, scalability, and automation in blockchain networks. This will help make blockchain systems more efficient and capable of handling more transactions.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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