Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?

Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?

Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?

Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?

Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?

Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Before 2028, will a sovereign state directly manipulate a real-money prediction market?