US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
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4
Ṁ8002026
24%
chance
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1W
1M
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Any of the SEC, CFTC, FTC, any state Attorney General, announces either a lawsuit against Polymarket, or fines Polymarket, or announces a settlement with Polymarket, or bans US customers - anything where Polymarket must respond to a court case, or has its operations constrained in some way.
I am aware the CFTC entered a judgment against Polymarket in 2022, but it appears that they are still accepting money from US customers to bet on US elections.
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