Market will resolve to YES if 44.1% or higher of Americans approve of Donald Trump's performance dated October 1st, 2025 on Nate Silver's approval tracker located here at Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin

Notes:

• Data will be checked within 24 hours after market close.

• If the approval dips below 44.1% at some point, but rises back above by October 1st, the market will still resolve to YES.

• In the unlikely event that the Silver Bulletin tracker is no longer available or updated, the RCP tracker here will be used as a substitute: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating