Will Argentina exercise territorial control over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
Basic
6
Ṁ6002040
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Argentinians want the island, but the people who actually live on the island want to stay in the UK, and Argentinians don't have much appetite for military action
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2012/04/10/falklands-war-britain-and-argentina
Related questions
Related questions
If Argentina attempts to invade the Falkland Islands before 2040, will it succeed?
40% chance
Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
28% chance
If Argentina successfully invades the Falkland Islands before 2040, will the UK regain control of them within a year?
55% chance
Will Argentina attempt to invade the Falkland Islands again before 2040?
10% chance
Will Argentina adopt U.S dollar as its legal tender by 2030?
44% chance
Will Argentina adopt the US Dollar by 2029?
39% chance
Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
4% chance
Will Argentina Own the Falkland Islands by 2028?
2% chance
Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
32% chance
Will Argentina shoot down a British plane or sink a British ship before 2040?
17% chance