Will a human walk on the surface of Venus before the end of Season Five of For All Mankind?
Will a human walk on the surface of Venus before the end of Season Five of For All Mankind?
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Might be a good idea to bone up on your space knowledge on these questions. Venus has never been on anyone's radar because sustaining life of any kind there would be effectively impossible. Its surface temperature is nearly 900º F! We might visit in a distance future in which advanced tech designed for Venus can withhold that sheer level of heat constantly.
Oh, and Venus's atmosphere is 92x denser than Earth's. Not seeing how anyone could walk there without instantly being obliterated by the vast weight being held back.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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