What will be the outcome of the Pivot?
Plus
46
Ṁ7414Apr 1
11%
If C happens, the payment processor decides to stop serving the site and the site is unable to easily find another good payment processor, within 6 months
18%
If C happens, The site stops doing The Pivot for at least one month, within 6 months
90%
If C Happens, The site is continuing with the The Pivot model and looks unlikely to stop anytime soon, 6 months later
21%
If C happens, the site has huge financial benefit from The Pivot, either directly from profit or through fundraising, 6 months later
48%
If C happens, nothing hugely dramatic has happened either good or bad and the site is overall in a similar position to pre-Pivot, 6 months later
If you would like to be extra helpful, please write down your probabilities for each event occurring so we can average them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Joshua looks like A, B, & C can resolve YES. the announcement & official launch happened, sweeps markets are resolving & withdrawals are enabled
