Will ≥2 Manifold users get job offers importantly due to their Manifold track record?
➕
Plus
14
Ṁ947
Jan 6
91%
chance

This market resolves yes if we learn that at least two people were hired due to their excellent forecasting track records, as evidenced by Manifold profits or similar.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Just seeing this now, I can attest this resolves yes.

Anyone have any examples? I'm not aware of any

No response over 4 days. Resolving NO. Will consider re-resolving for the next 7 days if people submit evidence.

@JonasVollmer @MichaelWheatley confirms that at least 3 people received job offers! See comment below.

We're at least at 1 right now!

@saulmunn @SG @MichaelWheatley Would love to hear any examples you're aware of! Currently leaning towards NO because I haven't heard of any examples, though perhaps there are some.

@JonasVollmer I know at least 3 people now, but I’m not sure if I can disclose who they are / which firms they’re working for.

@JonasVollmer Stevo's correct that this can resolve YES

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules