Which territories will the USA acquire by 2050?
Which territories will the USA acquire by 2050?
Plus
16
Ṁ33152050
62%
any part of the Moon
34%
any part of Antarctica
27%
any Pacific Island
26%
Panama Canal Zone
25%
Greenland
24%
any Caribbean Island
15%
Canada
7%
Mexico
Each answer will resolve to YES if the United States officially acquires this territories through legislative action or executive order by EOY 2050.
Resolution will be based on announcements from the U.S. Department of the Interior or other relevant federal agencies.
Background: Trump has brought up the purchase of Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal Zone.
Under current international law, the Antarctic Treaty and Outer Space Treaty prohibit territorial claims on Antarctica and the Moon.
References:
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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