By what year will Poland's first military use nuclear weapon be publicized (whether through leak or government release)?
By what year will Poland's first military use nuclear weapon be publicized (whether through leak or government release)?
Plus
10
Ṁ1160Dec 31
8%
End of 2025
40%
End of 2026
56%
End of 2027
80%
Will Not be Publicized by End of 2026
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
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Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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