Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040? | Manifold

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

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2040

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Update 2025-07-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria:
- The market will be resolved based on the date of independence, not the day of the referendum. (AI summary of creator comment)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Collective Autonomy

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What matters is date of independence, not day of referendum

Calling dibs on saying the question is misresolved if a referendum passes before 2040 but the date of independence is after that

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