How many answers will close over 50%?

Ṁ2683

Jun 27

56%

At least one

49%

At least two

49%

At least three

48%

At least four

48%

At least five

36%

At least six

34%

At least seven

30%

At least eight

22%

At least nine

14%

At least ten

Resolves according to the number of answers with a 51% or higher probability when this market closes.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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At least 1 and At least 10 are self fulfilling prophechies

@100Anonymous Yes, but they also influence the other ones.

@GastonKessler That actually makes all of them self fulfilling prophecies

@100Anonymous in different ways, yes. However, the resolution date is fixed, so expect some chaos right before the end

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