Which company will create AGI first? | Manifold

Which company will create AGI first?

Plus

69

Ṁ4200

2036

23%

DeepMind

20%

OpenAI

18%

Anthropic

10%

US Government

7%

xAI

6%

Meta

5%

Communist Party of China

5%

people not employed by a company

3%

Other

1.8%

Safe Superintelligence (SSI)

1.4%

DeepSeek

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

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Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Which company will be the first to develop, announce, and allow the public to freely interact with “true” AGI?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

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