What will be true about the drones observed near U.S. Air Force bases in the UK by the end of 2024?
Basic
23
Ṁ907
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES
The origin and purpose of the drones remain officially unidentified
Resolved
NO
The drones were confirmed to be operated by a foreign state actor
Resolved
NO
The drones were confirmed to be operated by civilian hobbyists
Resolved
NO
The drones were confirmed to be part of an authorized military exercise
Resolved
NO
More similar incursions will be reported by major news outlets during December in the UK
Resolved
NO
Clear photos of such drones will be published by major news outlets
Resolved
NO
The drones were confirmed to be operated by non human intelligence

Between November 20 and 22, 2024, unidentified drones were detected over or near U.S. Air Force bases RAF Lakenheath, RAF Mildenhall, and RAF Feltwell in eastern England. The origin and purpose of these drones remain unknown, prompting investigations by U.S. and UK authorities. 1

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve based on official statements from U.S. or UK authorities, credible news organizations, or other reliable sources confirming the origin and purpose of the drones.

Participants are encouraged to provide sources and reasoning for their trades in the comments section.


  1. US Air Force in UK says drones have been spotted flying over bases in England

  • Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - More similar incursions will be reported by major news outlets during December in the UK.

    • The market will resolve to NO tomorrow unless evidence is shown.

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@trades I will resolve the options More similar incursions will be reported by major news outlets during December in the UK to NO tomorrow unless anyone show evidence for it.

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