Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?
Will a major country achieve complete carbon neutrality by 2040?
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Carbon neutrality is just net-zero emissions, so will a major country be able to reach a state where the amount of emissions released into the atmosphere is equal to the offset or the amount removed?
Major countries like USA, China, Germany, France, and the UK.
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Could you let us know your definition of a major country? Is it based on population, GDP per capita, landmass or something else?
Would you consider Sweden, Denmark or New Zealand to be major countries?
Also, how does this resolve if a country declares themselves to have officially hit net zero but there are cynics saying that some of their carbon offsets shouldn't count for various reasons?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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