There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030 | Manifold

There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030

Plus

14

Ṁ374

2030

83%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

i.e. a service where if you agree, you will promise that in the event of a dispute, you and others will submit information to an LLM/AI system for evaluation of the dispute.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Legal Decisions

#Collective Intelligence

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 YES

Will somebody build it? Yep. Will it be good? Probably not the first one, at least.

https://x.com/gallabytes/status/1822020815287939567

follow me for ideas which become future startups

If there is a company offering such a service prior to 2030 and it fails completely and burns to the ground, would this resolve YES since the service was offered?

predictedYES

@whenhaveiever yes as long as it was a real service it would count

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by EBFrench

Using LLMs for legal arbitration - this seems like a great idea (although potentially could go wrong). A good enough AI could be more trustworthy than humans. #ManifoldMarkets https://manifold.markets/StrayClimb/there-will-be-a-company-which-offer https://t.co/FOugagwVi8

Related questions

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Will a substantial number of legal arbitrations use an ai arbitration by January 1, 2029?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on the Scale AI Coding benchmark in 2025?

In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?

LLMs to the moon? (By 2030)

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?

Will an AI successfully defend or prosecute someone in court before 2030

Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?

Related questions

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?

Will a substantial number of legal arbitrations use an ai arbitration by January 1, 2029?

Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on the Scale AI Coding benchmark in 2025?

Which AI companies will release a SoTA LLM on AidanBench in 2025?

In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?

Will an AI successfully defend or prosecute someone in court before 2030

LLMs to the moon? (By 2030)

Will the most advanced LLM stop being from a US-based company any time before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules