If the USD loses its reserve currency status in the next 10 years, what currency will take its place?
If the USD loses its reserve currency status in the next 10 years, what currency will take its place?
15
Ṁ6022035
53%
Euro
19%
Yuan
5%
Some universal currency not present today
10%
Yen
2%
Bitcoin
11%
If the USD is no longer the most held currency in global foreign exchange reserves in 10 years, what will be? Note that we're talking about plurality, not majority.
Currently, the dollar represents 58% of foreign reserve holdings worldwide, while the euro, the second most used currency, 21%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The Europeans have neither the industrial capacity nor the will to take up America’s place should it fall. This is why America overtook Europe in the first place. China on the hand is actively doing in their power to make connections with other nations leverage every advantage available to them.
Comment hidden
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?
61% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?
59% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?
20% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?
36% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?
46% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?
30% chance
Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?
33% chance
Will the USD stop being the world's reserve currency by 2030?
25% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?
41% chance
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?
50% chance