By cured, I mean an FDA-approved treatment that halts the deterioration in cognitive decline in at least 75% of cases
Dec 25, 10:46pm: Will Alzheimer’s be cured by 2040? → Will Alzheimer’s be cured by 2040?
Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the scenario where the FDA no longer exists, a treatment will be considered to meet the 'FDA-approved' requirement if it is allowed under a system where treatments are not explicitly forbidden. The treatment must still meet the efficacy criterion (halting cognitive decline in at least 75% of cases).
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3.00What if the FDA no longer exists, and any treatment for anything not explicitly forbidden is allowed?
Would early detection and treatment suffice, if it does not necessarily work after onset of substantial symptoms? Specifically, if a reliable early detection methodology arises, would you consider early-detected cases to be part of your total set from which you measure 75%?
Does this have to be for all forms of Alzheimer's, regardless of cause? Broad efficacy in 80% of cases? What is the bar?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00