Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
Basic
7
Ṁ119Dec 31
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Evidence will be a formal announcement but not necessarily shipping of a new computing device using a chip that is fabbed on the new (2nm?) process. Most likely candidate will be the iPhone 16 Pro.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
24% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
31% chance
How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? 🤖🧠🦾🚀✨🌐
Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
20% chance
Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?
57% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
20% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
96% chance