In what year will an AI successfully beat The Talos Principle?
Basic
3
Ṁ1452034
57%
2028
31%
2026
31%
2027
31%
2029
31%
Later
20%
2030
20%
2031
20%
2032
20%
2033
20%
2034
6%
2025
5%
2024
Must complete all necessary puzzles to beat the game, but does not need to collect any bonus stars. The AI cannot use excessive glitches to clip through walls with superhuman precision. Cannot have excessive gameplay footage, or text or video walkthroughs, or answers from internet posts about the game, in its training data, nor may it look up such information during the run.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
72% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
57% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
61% chance
Will an AI be able to play a type of video game that it wasn't trained on before 2026?
55% chance
When will an AI figure out how to beat Factorio?
By what year will AI figure out how to beat The Outer Wilds?
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
25% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
53% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
78% chance
Will an AI system beat human performance in Trackmania Tool-Assisted Speedrunning by the end of 2025?
13% chance