The California Condor is a New World Vulture and the largest land bird in North America. It became Extinct in the Wild in 1987, but captive individuals have since been reintroduced to the wild in California, Arizona and Baja California, Mexiko. This market focuses on the risk of complete extinction of the species. It will resolve YES if the California Condor is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier. It will also resolve YES if there is other strong evidence that the species is completly extinct, including captive individuals. It will resolve NO if there is strong evidence in 2100 that the California Condor persists.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_condor
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically endangered
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22697636/181151405
Observations on iNaturalist
https://www.inaturalist.org/taxa/4778-Gymnogyps-californianus
Numbers of wild and captive condors
https://www.ventanaws.org/status.html
For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
1,000
3.00According to the Ventana Wildlife Society there is a total population of 561 condors (344 wild, and 217 captive). Although numbers are much higher than some decades, such a small population makes the species highly vulnerable.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00